Reckonize

The Salmon

Your grandfather caught salmon every summer. The river is still there. The salmon aren't.

The System

Wild salmon are collapsing on both coasts. DFO manages the fishery. Open-net pen salmon farms sit in migration routes, spreading parasites and disease. Deadlines to remove them keep getting pushed back. The fish don't get extensions.

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Fraser sockeye forecast (2024)

0%

Wild juveniles infected near farms

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Bay of Fundy salmon (was 40,000)

567,180fish

567,180. That was the Fraser River's 2024 sockeye forecast — the lowest ever recorded. Scientists say you need at least 1 million for a healthy run. We're not even close.

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94percent infected

94% of juvenile wild salmon near fish farms were infected with parasites. After the Discovery Islands farms were closed, sea lice dropped 96%. The science is not subtle.

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Let's hear the other side

...and see if it holds water

After Discovery Islands farms closed, sea lice on wild salmon dropped 96% — but the sockeye run didn't recover. The lowe...

The Promise

The Cohen Commission spent $26 million investigating the decline of Fraser River sockeye. It produced 75 recommendations in 2012. DFO claims 100% have been addressed. Scientists who worked on the commission disagree.

1990sEvent

Fraser River sockeye peak

Fraser River sockeye runs peak at 20+ million fish.

2009Reality

Fraser sockeye collapse

Fraser sockeye return: 1.5 million — dramatic collapse. Triggers Cohen Commission.

2012Promise

Cohen Commission delivers 75 recommendations

Key recommendation: close Discovery Islands farms if risk confirmed.

2020Promise

DFO promises closed containment by 2025

DFO promises to transition open-net pens to closed containment by 2025.

2024Reality

Deadline extended to 2029

Deadline extended to June 30, 2029. New 5-year licences issued.

2024Reality

Lowest sockeye forecast ever

567,180 fish forecast. Need 1 million minimum.

75recommendations

75 recommendations. The Cohen Commission delivered them in 2012. DFO says they met 100%. The scientists who wrote them say that's not true. The open-net pen removal deadline was 2025. It's now 2029.

The Reality

Atlantic salmon are disappearing too. The Miramichi River in New Brunswick used to see 120,000 salmon a year. Now it's about 20,000. The Bay of Fundy inner population went from 40,000 adults to fewer than 200. This isn't a west coast problem. It's everywhere.

434,700fish

434,700 Atlantic salmon returned in 2024 versus a 5-year average of 771,200. The Miramichi went from 120,000 a year to roughly 20,000. The Bay of Fundy: from 40,000 adults to fewer than 200.

200adults remaining

From 40,000 to fewer than 200. That's the Bay of Fundy inner salmon population. Not a decline. A collapse. These fish are functionally extinct.

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What Works

When the Discovery Islands fish farms were closed, sea lice on juvenile wild salmon dropped 96%. The science is clear: remove the farms from migration routes and wild fish recover. Closed-containment technology exists. The industry just doesn't want to pay for it.

Sea lice impact: before and after farm closure

96percent reduction

96% drop in sea lice after Discovery Islands farm closures. The experiment worked. The federal government extended the open-net pen deadline to 2029 anyway.

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What You Can Do

Demand the 2029 open-net pen deadline is kept. Support wild salmon conservation groups. Buy only closed-containment farmed salmon if you buy farmed. Ask DFO to publish honest progress reports on the Cohen Commission recommendations.

Push your MP to hold DFO accountable on the 2029 open-net pen transition deadline. Support the Atlantic Salmon Federation and Pacific Salmon Foundation. If you eat farmed salmon, look for closed-containment operations.

Sources