The Grocery Bill

Standing in the checkout line doing math in your head. $200 used to fill the cart. Now it barely fills a bag.

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The System

Why Groceries Are So Expensive: How Canada's Food System Works

The top five grocery retailers — Loblaw, Sobeys, Metro, Costco, and Walmart — control an estimated 80% of the market. The Big Three alone (Loblaw, Sobeys, Metro) tallied over $100 billion in combined sales. Combined profit: $3.6 billion. They set the prices. You pay them. There is no meaningful competition.

$0$/yr

Family of 4 food cost (2026)

0M/mo

Food bank visits (2025)

0%

Canadians food insecure

17,572CAD/year

$17,572. That's what a family of four is projected to spend on food in 2026. Up $995 from 2025. Up thousands from five years ago.

503million CAD

$503 million. Loblaw's profit in Q1 2025 alone. Up 9.6% year over year. Your groceries cost more. Their shareholders are doing fine.

3.6billion CAD

The Big Three — Loblaw, Sobeys, and Metro — earned more than $3.6 billion in profit in 2022 on more than $100 billion in sales, according to the Competition Bureau. No Aldi. No Lidl. No discount disruptor. In the UK, Aldi and Lidl grabbed 18-19% of the market and forced prices down. Canada has no equivalent.

The Promise

What the Government Promised About Food Affordability

The grocery chains said the price-fixing was behind them. The Competition Bureau investigated. Politicians held hearings. The grocers signed a voluntary stabilization code. Prices kept climbing.

1986Event

Competition Act comes into force

8 major grocers in Canada.

2001-2015Reality

Bread price-fixing runs for 14 years

Seven Canadian bread companies secretly collude to inflate wholesale and retail bread prices by at least $1.50/loaf.

2016Reality

Top 5 grocers control 80% of market

Only 5 major grocers remain. Consolidation from 8 to 5 in 30 years.

2018Event

Competition Bureau charges bread companies

Seven companies charged with indictable offences. Weston Bakeries and Canada Bread controlled ~80% of the bread market.

2023Event

Canada Bread fined $50 million

Highest price-fixing fine in Canadian history. $500M class action settlement opens.

2023Reality

Competition Bureau: Canada needs more grocery competition

Study finds grocery margins increased during inflation. Structural barriers block new entrants.

2025Reality

Food bank visits double since 2019

2.2 million visits/month. 1 in 3 clients are children. 1 in 5 are employed.

50million CAD fine

14 years. That's how long the bread price-fixing scandal ran — 2001 to 2015. Canada Bread was fined $50 million. A $500 million class action followed. The companies that fixed bread prices are still the companies that sell you bread.

The Reality

Grocery Store Profits Are Up While Families Can't Afford Food

2.2 million Canadians visit a food bank every month. That number doubled since 2019. One in five food bank clients has a job. This isn't about laziness. It's about math that doesn't work anymore.

Grocery chain Q1 2025 profit growth

25.5percent

10 million. That's how many Canadians are food insecure — 25.5% of the population in 2024. Including 2.5 million children. In a country that exports food to the world.

2.2million visits/month

2.2 million food bank visits per month in 2025. Doubled since 2019. 1 in 5 clients is employed. They have jobs. They still can't afford groceries.

3.5% net margin

Grocery is a low-margin business. Loblaw's net margin is roughly 3.5%. But on $61 billion in annual revenue, even a small margin increase means hundreds of millions in additional profit. The question isn't whether margins are thin. It's whether they got thicker during a crisis.

What Works

Countries That Keep Grocery Prices Affordable for Families

France passed an anti-food-waste law in 2016. Supermarkets must donate unsold food or face fines. Donations went up 20%. Canada wastes 46% of the food it produces — $58 billion a year. We don't have that law.

58billion CAD/year

More than 46% of all food in Canada is wasted, and the avoidable part of that waste is worth about $58 billion a year, according to Second Harvest. Meanwhile, food banks logged 2.2 million visits in a single month. The food exists. The system throws it away.

20percent increase

France's 2016 anti-waste law banned supermarkets from destroying unsold edible food and required them to offer it for donation; the French government reported food-bank donations rose more than 20% afterward. Canada has no equivalent federal requirement.

What You Can Do

What You Can Do About Rising Food Costs in Canada

The grocery oligopoly won't fix itself. Real competition, mandatory food donation laws, and transparency on pricing would change things. Ask your MP why Canada doesn't have an anti-food-waste law like France.

Support local food banks. Buy from local producers when you can. Ask your MP to support mandatory food donation legislation and real grocery competition reform. Track corporate grocery profits — they're public quarterly.

Sources

  1. [1] Canada's Food Price Report 2026 (Dalhousie, Guelph, UBC, Saskatchewan) — Family of four food cost, 2026 Link
  2. [2] Loblaw Companies Limited — First Quarter 2025 Results — Q1 2025 net earnings Link
  3. [3] Competition Bureau Canada — Canada Needs More Grocery Competition (Retail Grocery Market Study) — Big-Three sales and profit, 2022 Link
  4. [4] Public Prosecution Service of Canada — Canada Bread Sentenced for Price-Fixing — Canada Bread price-fixing sentence Link
  5. [5] PROOF, University of Toronto — Household Food Insecurity in Canada 2024 — Household food insecurity, 2024 Link
  6. [6] Food Banks Canada — HungerCount 2025 — HungerCount 2025 Link
  7. [7] Loblaw Companies Limited — 2024 Fiscal Year Results — FY2024 revenue and net margin Link
  8. [8] Second Harvest / Value Chain Management International — The Avoidable Crisis of Food Waste (Update) — Avoidable food waste value Link
  9. [9] France — Loi Garot (2016 Anti-Food-Waste Law), reported effects — Reported effect of the 2016 anti-waste law Link
  10. [10] Food Banks Canada — HungerCount 2025 — Food banks; quarterly filings Link